Heres my reasoning....
If you take a look at week 1 and even week 2, alot of teams have been putting up alot of goals to begin the year but I think the truth is difficult to ignore.
Blackburn has lost alot with the departures of Duff and Dunn and their two main forwards Yorke and Cole, really dont amount to much in terms of goal scoring. Matt Jansen has a little more offensive punch but isnt even guaranteed a starting spot. In the middle, I dont know if Reid is suspended or not after getting red carded in the last game but even if he is, him and Emerton cannot be pulling miracles every game.
Put Friedel under the 3 posts and I like what I see.
Now, Man City. Yes Anelka can score but Fowler is stuck in some sort of slump which has to be the worst of his career. His strikes have disappeared and his overall performane has REALLY gone downhill. Man City, on top of this has played a very very boring type of football for the last two years which has made the under lucrative on many occasions. Again, stick Seaman under the 3 posts and you have a solid chance of this thing ending up 0-0.
Good luck on your wagers, ladies and gentlemen.
EPL Slim